Wakeloom
Key findings
- In the Oct 28 leaderboard snapshot, of the top 50 on the Wakeloom leaderboard, 17 (34%) use third-party data and are marked "Some checks pending": Wakeloom has not yet run its concentration, market-making and wash-trading checks on them. None are in the top 10; 4 are in the top 20.
- In the Oct 28 leaderboard snapshot, 9 of the top 50 (18%) show resolved markets capped at "20,000+". All 9 are third-party, and all 9 show "No data" for 90-day win rate and ROI.
- On wallet pages fetched on Oct 30, cross-checking Polymarket's official 30-day profit leaderboard (top 100) against Wakeloom's public wallet pages: 49 are third-party and unverified, 22 have fewer than 20 resolved markets, and only 15 show a composite score. On the 30-day volume leaderboard (top 100): 81 are third-party and 26 have 20,000 or more resolved markets.
- The share of likely market makers is unverified in this study. Live public pages do not yet show a "Likely market maker" label; the FAQ only states that such addresses are not ranked.
A leaderboard rank is a starting point. Check the data source first, then whether there are enough resolved markets, then whether win rate and ROI are actually shown.
Method and definitions
This study counts the server-rendered page snapshot, not the numbers a browser refreshes after the page loads.
Sources (public pages only)
- Wakeloom
www.wakeloom.com/en/leaderboard/and/zh/leaderboard/, plus/en/leader/0x…/pages: server-rendered HTML and JSON-LD. - Polymarket's official
polymarket.com/leaderboardpage HTML: top 200 addresses on the 30-day profit and 30-day volume boards. - No use of app.wakeloom.com, internal APIs, or backend data requests.
Data as of (all times UTC)
- Wakeloom leaderboard: 2026-10-28 09:00 UTC (as stated on the page) (server-rendered snapshot; numbers refreshed in the browser after load are not counted).
- Wakeloom wallet pages: 2026-10-30 10:39–10:53 UTC (as stated on the pages).
- Polymarket leaderboard page: 2026-10-30 10:47 UTC, taken from the data-generation timestamp (dehydratedAt) embedded in the page HTML; it is not displayed on the page. Pages were fetched 10:49–10:56 UTC.
Definitions (per Wakeloom's live FAQ and How it works page)
- Win rate and ROI: last 90 days. ROI = realized P&L ÷ capital invested, excluding unrealized P&L. For third-party addresses ROI is the provider's figure ("third-party basis") and may be calculated differently.
- Resolved markets: all-time. The leaderboard shows values above 20,000 as "20,000+"; some wallet pages show the raw number. Both are counted here as "20,000 or more".
- Trade count: not shown on public pages; not counted (unverified).
- "Third-party" = pages showing "Some checks pending" at snapshot time. These addresses use third-party data, and the page shows the source.
- Likely market makers are not ranked.
- "Small sample" thresholds (<20 or <100 resolved markets) are this study's own cut-offs, not Wakeloom product rules.
- Anonymous aggregates only; no addresses listed, no judgement on any individual.
Data
Table 1. Wakeloom leaderboard top 50 (snapshot 2026-10-28 09:00 UTC)
| Item | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Ranked addresses | 50 | 100% |
| Third-party, "Some checks pending" | 17 | 34% |
| …of which in top 10 / top 20 | 0 / 4 | — |
| Resolved markets capped "20,000+" | 9 | 18% |
| Win rate and ROI both "No data" | 9 (same 9 as capped) | 18% |
| Fewer than 100 resolved markets¹ | 10 | 20% |
| Fewer than 20 resolved markets¹ | 0 | 0% |
| Max drawdown below 1% | 16 | 32% |
| Labelled likely market maker | Unverified (no such label live) | — |
| Trade count | Unverified (not shown publicly) | — |
¹ Study cut-off, not a Wakeloom product threshold.
Self-computed addresses (33): median 245 resolved markets (min 52); median 90-day win rate 65%, median ROI +40.4%. The zh and en boards list the same 50 addresses in the same order.
Table 2. Polymarket official 30-day leaderboards, as shown on Wakeloom public wallet pages (2026-10-30 10:39–10:53 UTC)
| Item | Profit top 50 | Profit top 100 | Profit top 200 | Volume top 50 | Volume top 100 | Volume top 200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Third-party, unverified | 24 | 49 | 114 | 40 | 81 | 165 |
| Resolved 20,000 or more (incl. raw numbers on wallet pages) | 10 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 26 | 46 |
| …shown as "20,000+" | 6 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 22 | 39 |
| …shown as a raw number above 20,000 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 90-day win rate "No data" | 9 | 12 | 36 | 17 | 25 | 49 |
| Fewer than 20 resolved¹ | 9 | 22 | 54 | 4 | 10 | 24 |
| Fewer than 100 resolved¹ | 12 | 30 | 74 | 6 | 16 | 43 |
| Composite score shown | 4 | 15 | 37 | 7 | 19 | 45 |
| Labelled likely market maker | Unverified | Unverified | Unverified | Unverified | Unverified | Unverified |
Why a page shows no composite score is not stated on the page; unverified. The two boards overlap, so columns cannot be summed. ¹ Study cut-off, not a Wakeloom product threshold.
What this means for picking traders
- Check the data source. A third of the top 50 use third-party data; their win rate and ROI may be calculated differently, and market-making and wash-trading checks have not been run. Review their trade history on Polymarket yourself.
- Resolved markets matter. 22 of the profit top 100 have fewer than 20 resolved markets. A big 30-day profit may come from one or two events, and win rate on such a small sample says little.
- Read "20,000+" and "No data" together. Wallets with more than 20,000 resolved markets trade very often; latency and spread may make that hard to copy, and their win rate and ROI are not shown.
- Very low drawdown deserves a second look. 16 of the top 50 show max drawdown below 1% (Oct 28 snapshot). Low drawdown is not the same as low risk; read it together with resolved-market count.
- A ranking does not predict future results. Wakeloom is in preview ("Preview: simulated copy-trading only, not yet launched"); test with paper trading first to see results after latency and spread.
Limitations
- Tables 1 and 2 come from different dates; their shares cannot be compared or combined. On wallet pages opened Oct 30, 6 addresses' composite scores differ from the Oct 28 snapshot by more than 1 point (of 47 comparable; max 3.2).
- Market-maker share and trade counts are unverified.
- Third-party figures come from the provider and have not been verified by Wakeloom.
- Only the server-rendered 30-day profit and volume top 200 were used; other time windows were not.
- The small-sample thresholds are this study's own; other thresholds give different numbers.